Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Equity

Why Abe’s Victory Could Help Lift Japanese Stocks

“In our view, Abe’s victory could lead to four more years of pro-growth policies and the possibility of a second term for the very ultra-dovish Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.” – Templeton Global Equity Group’s Cindy Sweeting and Alan Chua

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Alternatives

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“While we cannot predict market tops or bottoms, we can be prudent in how we position portfolios contextually. Perhaps now is the time to consider dialing back risk to some degree. We believe the easy money in this cycle has already been made.” - K2 Advisors

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Perspectives

Does Macron’s EU Reform Agenda Need German Support?

"Without an eager partner in Germany, I think Macron will face challenges implementing his more radical eurozone reforms. Although there is broad support for unification in the wake of last year’s Brexit vote, some of the EU’s Eastern European partners are using all the brakes to prevent unification. I see it as a long road to reach that goal.” – Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Franklin Mutual Series

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Alternatives

What’s Next For Europe as Merkel Is Re-elected

"We think the level of support for AfD does reflect a protest vote from people who have been unhappy with the direction things have been going in Germany. That could have an influence on Merkel’s approach as she looks past her election victory.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

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Equity

Why Gold-Mining Stocks Could Regain Some Luster

“It seems to us that gold’s inability to hold a rally over the last 18 months has created fatigue with investors. As a result, many investors have felt they should sell into rallies. However, given the overall global macroeconomic backdrop, this view may be creating an interesting opportunity for longer-term investors.” – Steve Land, Franklin Equity Group

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Perspectives

Time to Reset Expectations?

Global markets have been relatively calm this summer despite many uncertainties. Geopolitical risks have continued across the globe, and in some areas, looming monetary policy changes also appear likely. A key question for many investors is whether the sleepy summer period of low volatility will give way to a more turbulent autumn. Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders offer their perspective on the markets and discuss where they see opportunities and risks ahead.

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Equity

Is France on the Cusp of a Thatcher Moment?

French President Emmanuel Macron is preparing to take on France’s powerful unions as he attempts to overhaul the country’s labor code. Here, Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Franklin Mutual Series executive vice president and portfolio manager, explains why a Macron victory on this front could open up opportunities for investing in French equities.

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Equity

Macron at 100 Days: New French President Faces Busy Autumn

“Although polls have shown that Macron’s approval ratings have fallen since the election, I don’t see this drop as cause for concern. The ebbs and flows of popular polls are natural, in my opinion, following the giant wave of hope that swept Macron into office. That hope is now meeting the cold light of reality.” – Philippe Brugere-Trelat, Executive Vice President, Franklin Mutual Series

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Equity

US Tech Sector: Continued Run-Up or Correction Coming?

Since the infamous “dot com” meltdown nearly two decades ago, people have tended to question any sort of extended run-up in technology-sector stocks. Stephen Dover, executive vice president and head of equities at Franklin Templeton Investments and chief investment officer, Templeton Emerging Markets, recently recorded a podcast centered on the theme of technology and how investors might view the sector. In this new podcast, he explains why he thinks the situation today is very different from the dot com meltdown.

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Equity

Navigating an Uncertain Second Half

Receding political anxiety and a gathering economic recovery in Europe helped global equity markets advance in the first half of 2017. Yet Templeton Global Equity Group’s Cindy Sweeting and Tony Docal say investors should be somewhat cautious in the second half of the year. They believe rich stock valuations and shifting central bank policies could lead to bouts of volatility.

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Equity

Addressing Always-Connected Technology

"We believe the transition to technology-on-demand will likely integrate technology even further in our day-to-day lives in the years ahead.” - Matt Moberg, Franklin Equity Group

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Equity

Value Update: Where Is the Next Pocket of Opportunity?

"As the anticipated value rally gains steam, we think non-US stocks should begin to benefit. Like the value universe a year ago, non-US equities today look to us to be undervalued, under-owned, and exposed to positive catalysts, including improving corporate fundamentals, economic tailwinds and political and policy support." - Templeton Global Equity Group.