Beyond Bulls & Bears

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective
Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seems to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently, a number of Cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge still lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility
Fixed Income

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility

Templeton Global Macro Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab and Vice President and Deputy Director of Research, Dr. Calvin Ho, discuss emerging-market turbulence, the persistent concerns around trade policy and divergent growth trends in the developed world.

The US Yield Curve: Should We Fear Inversion?
Fixed Income

The US Yield Curve: Should We Fear Inversion?

There has been a lot of talk this year about the flattening of the US yield curve—which is a graphical representation of the spread between short- and long-term interest-rate instruments. Our senior investment leaders make a case that the “predictive power” of the yield curve when it comes to the US economy may not really be so predictive this time around.

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses whether optimism about the US economy is justified, and whether Italy’s budget talks could lead to looser fiscal policy elsewhere in the eurozone.

Hasenstab: Focus on Fundamentals in US, Emerging Markets
Fixed Income

Hasenstab: Focus on Fundamentals in US, Emerging Markets

“If you have a three-month time horizon, EM investing is very difficult. If you have a couple-year horizon, you can exploit these panic sell-offs that are not fundamental in nature.” - Michael Hasenstab

Fed Full Steam Ahead
Fixed Income

Fed Full Steam Ahead

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its benchmark short-term interest rate for the third time this year, which was no surprise to most market participants. Chris Molumphy, chief investment officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, offers his take on the Fed’s “normalization” path in light of what he sees as an overall positive US economic backdrop.

As Public Attitudes Toward the Environment Change, So Should the Investment Approach
Fixed Income

As Public Attitudes Toward the Environment Change, So Should the Investment Approach

“After attending this year’s Principles for Responsible Investment Conference (PRI) in San Francisco, our takeaway message is clear: Investors and investment managers have to be proactive in addressing changing public attitudes toward the environment.” -David Zahn

Moving Up in Credit Quality for Better Durability
Fixed Income

Moving Up in Credit Quality for Better Durability

Some investment-grade bonds are riskier than their ratings imply, while high-yield bonds have seen some positive tailwinds. Meanwhile, a large number of bank loan agreements now favor borrow¬ers over lenders. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s Glenn Voyles, Marc Kremer, Matt Fey, Brian French and Reema Agarwal take a look at these areas of credit landscape today.

Global Investment Outlook: How Much Further Can Global Growth Fly?
Perspectives

Global Investment Outlook: How Much Further Can Global Growth Fly?

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group CIO Chris Molumphy and Franklin Templeton's Head of Equities Stephen Dover weigh in on whether synchronized global growth can continue, why worries about trade wars may be overblown and why opportunities for investors may be more idiosyncratic or divergent moving forward.

Then and Now: Mortgage-Backed Securities Post-Financial Crisis
Fixed Income

Then and Now: Mortgage-Backed Securities Post-Financial Crisis

“As the Fed stops buying, we expect that will leave a greater supply of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) for the market to absorb. Now, the question is, who’s going to be the marginal buyer of MBS?” – Paul Varunok, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Global Economic Perspective: September
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: September

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses the spread of populism in Sweden, whether US economic momentum appears sustainable and what’s behind recent emerging-market woes.

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t
Fixed Income

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t

David Zahn, head of European fixed income, on why he thinks core European bond yields are unrealistically low, the impact of Japan’s “stealth taper”, and the apparent leadership vacuum at the heart of Europe. Plus why the lack of Brexit progress should be a concern for all EU member states.