Beyond Bulls & Bears

Food Security Through an ESG Lens
Fixed Income

Food Security Through an ESG Lens

“Given the already tight supply and demand balance and the expectation for further demand growth, the prices for meat-based proteins in general and pork are expected to continue to increase.” - S. James McGiveran III, research analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group.

Why We’re Positive About Lagarde’s ECB Nomination
Fixed Income

Why We’re Positive About Lagarde’s ECB Nomination

Christine Lagarde may have emerged as a surprise candidate to take the helm of the European Central Bank (ECB), but David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, sees it as a positive choice. Here he explains why both her experience, and lack of it, could prove positive if she does secure the job. And he shares his conviction that, whoever is in charge, the ECB is likely to remain steadfast on its easing path.

PODCAST: Midyear Outlook: Reining in Risk
Perspectives

PODCAST: Midyear Outlook: Reining in Risk

Equity markets continued to march higher in the first half of 2019, despite trade uncertainties and recessionary fears. An abrupt change to a more dovish stance among central bankers has recently provided fresh tinder to the equity fire. But does a looser policy stance signal there are cracks in the global economy’s foundation? Our senior investment leaders share their views on investing in uncertain times and how their outlooks have changed from earlier this year. They weigh in on market divergence, whether there is simply too much focus on the US Federal Reserve, where they see pockets of opportunity and how they are looking to play defense.

Are Investors Today Too Complacent?
Fixed Income

Are Investors Today Too Complacent?

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab recently shared his perspective on investing at FundForum International 2019 in Copenhagen. He outlines why he thinks many investors are too complacent today, leading to some “dangerous” risk-taking. He also cautions why he thinks the next decade won’t be like the last for investors.

US Fed in Tough Spot as Market Clamors for Rate Cuts
Fixed Income

US Fed in Tough Spot as Market Clamors for Rate Cuts

The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at its June meeting; it emphasized its data-driven approach to policy decisions but noted it believes the case for lower interest rates to be strengthening. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai offers her take on the meeting, and why the Fed might actually be exacerbating market volatility ahead.

Should Markets Heed Recession Warnings?
Multi-Asset

Should Markets Heed Recession Warnings?

Our Multi-Asset Solutions CIO Ed Perks discusses how markets are reacting to the possibility of a US recession, and explains why he favors a defensive stance. Read more.

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets
Fixed Income

The EU: Singing from 28 Hymn Sheets

What’s the investment lesson in Europe’s recent parliamentary elections? Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says it’s differentiation. Read more of what’s on her mind about this topic. 

Municipal Bonds: When Full Faith and Credit Falls Flat
Fixed Income

Municipal Bonds: When Full Faith and Credit Falls Flat

Once upon a time, US municipal bonds were generally considered less risky than corporate bonds. Backed by the full faith and credit of state governments, investors had confidence they would receive their principal plus interest without fail. Times have changed. For some states and local governments, decades of financial mismanagement and massive pension liabilities are threatening to upend the full faith and credit pledge. In this article, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income takes a look at the situation, with Illinois being an example of a particularly dire case.

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?
Fixed Income

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?

European parliamentary elections don’t typically generate international headlines, but with the wrinkle of Brexit still unsettled, this time they are front and center. Our David Zahn weighs in.

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?

“We calculate there would be no time for May’s successor to renegotiate a fresh deal with Brussels, so we think is more likely the UK could leave the EU without a deal.” David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income.

On My Mind: Embracing Tech Disruption—Four Lessons For Fixed Income Investors
Fixed Income

On My Mind: Embracing Tech Disruption—Four Lessons For Fixed Income Investors

 The impact of innovation on productivity, economic growth and global trade will be more profound than most people realize, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai. She shares her thoughts on the subject and other key takeaways from our annual Global Investment Forum in San Francisco.

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?
Fixed Income

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?

Many observers are predicting that European elections later this month will usher a wave of populist representatives into the European Parliament. David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, believes there may be a shift in political balance, but suggests the ability of extremists at either end of the political spectrum to dramatically alter the direction of the European Union is likely to be limited.