Beyond Bulls & Bears

US/China Trade Tensions Are Testing Investors’ Nerves
Equity

US/China Trade Tensions Are Testing Investors’ Nerves

The war of words between the Trump administration and China threatens to break out into a full-scale trade war. Franklin Templeton Head of Equities, Stephen Dover, considers the reaction of global investors and puts the current US stock market environment into perspective. And he considers some other issues that are contributing to markets’ cautious sentiment.

Analyzing Market Volatility from Escalating Trade Tensions
Equity

Analyzing Market Volatility from Escalating Trade Tensions

As one might imagine in light of recent news, trade was a big topic of discussion at Franklin Templeton’s 2019 Global Investor Forum in San Francisco this week. Our panelists addressed how the uncertainty is impacting the markets today—particularly emerging markets.

On My Mind: Trade Wars—The Dog That Didn’t Bark
Fixed Income

On My Mind: Trade Wars—The Dog That Didn’t Bark

The prospect of a “trade war” between the United States and China has caused some investor trepidation over the past year. But are the fears of economic fallout from this “war” warranted? And, was there ever really a war at all? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai weighs in.

Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Stop. Our View on US Interest Rates, Inflation and China
Fixed Income

Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Stop. Our View on US Interest Rates, Inflation and China

While the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to leave interest rates unchanged at its January policy meeting, the market seems to be thinking the Fed may press pause for an extended period. A prolonged US government shutdown has heightened concerns the economy could be at a tipping point, but Sonal Desai, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, weighs in on why the notion the Fed won’t raise rates at all this year “is misguided.”

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.  

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks Overseas to Shine?
Equity

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks Overseas to Shine?

"In our view, US small-cap stocks are currently among the most expensive in the world, especially in the technology and health care sectors. With valuations looking expensive to us in the United States amid rising interest rates, we aren’t finding as many compelling opportunities as we are in Europe and Asia outside of Japan.” - Franklin Equity Group’s Ed Lugo

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook
Perspectives

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook

Volatility has plagued equity markets globally in 2018—most notably emerging markets and US equity markets. As the US economic expansion officially crossed the nine-year mark in 2018, many investors started to wonder when the cycle would change—and what the catalyst might be. Our senior investment leaders see plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the year ahead, but recognize investment opportunities may be more divergent, with some previously overlooked countries or asset classes potentially taking the spotlight.

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses whether optimism about the US economy is justified, and whether Italy’s budget talks could lead to looser fiscal policy elsewhere in the eurozone.

Global Economic Perspective: September
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: September

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses the spread of populism in Sweden, whether US economic momentum appears sustainable and what’s behind recent emerging-market woes.

Riding the US Liquefied Natural Gas Wave
Equity

Riding the US Liquefied Natural Gas Wave

“In many parts of the world, constructing pipeline infrastructure to transport natural gas isn’t practical, and domestic production of natural gas outside North America is struggling and on the decline in many countries. That’s why we expect to see an increase in demand for LNG as countries pursue more natural gas-driven policies. The natural gas liquefaction process cools, condenses and transforms the gas into a commodity that can be ferried around the world in specialized compression tankers.” – Matt Adams, Franklin Equity Group

Global Economic Perspective: August
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: August

“We think the ECB is wise to retain some flexibility over the timing of its transition to more conventional monetary policies. The central bank has voiced concerns over the impact of the Turkish crisis on some European lenders. Additionally, volatility can be exaggerated at this time of year.” – Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®

Cutting through the Noise: Trump, Trade and Twitter
Multi-Asset

Cutting through the Noise: Trump, Trade and Twitter

“Could Trump’s words have a long-term impact on global stock markets? At the moment, the leading economic indicators, especially in the United States, continue to point to robust growth.” – Matthias Hoppe, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions.