Beyond Bulls & Bears

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

An Investor’s Perspective on the Proposed Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance
Perspectives

An Investor’s Perspective on the Proposed Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance

Can stakeholders (regulators, policymakers and market participants) deliver a sustainable finance framework that serves the end-client well? The European Union’s technical expert group has just published its final recommendations on the taxonomy for sustainable finance, establishing common criteria to classify environmentally sustainable activities that support the transition to a low-carbon economy. Fresh from discussing the topic at the Responsible Investor Europe Conference in London, Julie Moret, Head of ESG at Franklin Templeton, offers some immediate feedback on the usability and implications for investors.

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union
Fixed Income

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union

When investing in sovereign debt, there is a level of trust involved—faith a government will return an investor’s principal plus interest without fail. But Franklin Templeton Fixed Income doesn’t see this as blind faith; it must be backed by verifiable economic metrics. In this excerpt from the latest “FT Thinks,” our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn outlines how governments have changed in Europe, and how new politicians with fresh agendas can bolster confidence, or rouse concerns.

ECB Meeting: Fresh Clarity, But Let’s Not Get Ahead of Ourselves
Fixed Income

ECB Meeting: Fresh Clarity, But Let’s Not Get Ahead of Ourselves

David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, gives his take on the ECB meeting and explains why he’s still not expecting a eurozone interest-rate hike before 2020.

ECB Preview: Will Recent Italian Developments Influence Europe’s Tapering Timeline?
Fixed Income

ECB Preview: Will Recent Italian Developments Influence Europe’s Tapering Timeline?

“With eurozone growth data softer recently and inflation also relatively muted, we think it would be premature for the ECB to embark on a tightening cycle.” – David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU
Fixed Income

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU

For fixed income investors eyeing opportunities in Europe, 2018 should be the year economic fundamentals reassert their worth, according to David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income. Nonetheless, Zahn believes many investors are underappreciating the long-term implications for Europe of the biggest political uncertainty for the region—Brexit.

Global Economic Perspective: December
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: December

“The pattern of a strong cyclical upturn in the global economy combined with subdued inflation looks set to continue for some time, in our view. Nevertheless, we believe increasing demand and a diminishing pool of labor are likely to create meaningful pricing pressures at some point.” - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Global Economic Perspective: November
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: November

"Investors’ perceptions about the intentions of central banks, rather than economic fundamentals, are likely to remain the central driver of fixed income markets. Uncertainty created by factors such as geopolitics may only serve to convince policymakers to maintain a looser monetary stance than might otherwise be expected by economic conditions." - Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group discusses the state of the US economy and monetary policy implications, the fallout from the German elections and impact of the Catalonia crisis in Spain.

Global Economic Perspective: September
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: September

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the potential impact of recent storms on the US economy, Europe’s monetary policy path and whether the global economy’s upturn is sustainable.

How the German Election Could Dictate Europe’s Future Direction
Fixed Income

How the German Election Could Dictate Europe’s Future Direction

"These are optimistic times in Europe, in general. In contrast to what many observers might have expected nine months ago, the political structure in Europe is probably the most stable it’s been in 10 years.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

Why ECB Tapering Could Prompt a Change in Bond-Market Philosophy
Fixed Income

Why ECB Tapering Could Prompt a Change in Bond-Market Philosophy

“While some commentators may question whether the ECB should embark on tapering when it still doesn’t see itself hitting its inflation target within its time horizon, I would say that’s exactly what the central bank should do.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group