Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Fixed Income

The Fed’s Balancing (Sheet) Act

The Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting played out largely as expected, as US monetary policymakers left the central bank’s benchmark short-term interest rate unchanged. The Fed did clarify when it would begin to unwind its hefty balance sheet, and updated its economic forecasts and interest-rate projections. Chris Molumphy, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group CIO, says the communication from the latest Fed meeting should not rattle the markets much, and that the next interest-rate hike now seems most likely to come in December.

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Perspectives

Time to Reset Expectations?

Global markets have been relatively calm this summer despite many uncertainties. Geopolitical risks have continued across the globe, and in some areas, looming monetary policy changes also appear likely. A key question for many investors is whether the sleepy summer period of low volatility will give way to a more turbulent autumn. Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders offer their perspective on the markets and discuss where they see opportunities and risks ahead.

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Fixed Income

India’s Reform Movement Gains Momentum

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab recently visited India, and takes a look at some of the reforms he’s most excited about as a global fixed-income investor. He believes India’s future looks bright and that its growth trajectory should remain strong—despite some short-term adjustments.

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Emerging Markets

How the Asian Financial Crisis Reshaped Emerging Markets

Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab looks at how the response of local policymakers in the two decades since the Asian Financial Crisis has impacted emerging markets, and why he believes some of the most unloved local currency markets today represent exciting opportunities.

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Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Shock Defeat Threatens Further Volatility

“The prospect of a hung parliament, resulting either in a minority government or a coalition, paints a picture of an administration not in complete control during a period in which the United Kingdom needs its most focused administration for 70 years. ” David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, June 9, 2017.

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Fixed Income

If It’s Groundhog Day, Why Aren’t Investors Learning the Lessons?

The repeated financial market patterns of recent years have reminded some market professionals of the 1993 Bill Murray movie "Groundhog Day." But according to Christopher Molumphy, CIO of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®, investors may be missing the most important lesson of that movie: take control of your destiny.

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Fixed Income

Trade and Taxes in a World With Borders

“Successful [US] corporate tax reform would go a long way in promoting the incentives for real investment over the long term. Since weak investment has been identified as a potential drag on productivity growth since the global financial crisis, this shift in incentives could have strong and long-lived benefits.” - Michael Hasenstab, Templeton Global Macro

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Fixed Income

An Investor’s View of the French Presidential Election

"Despite the failure of the anti-immigration, anti-European Union (EU) party to make significant in-roads in the recent Dutch elections, we don’t think we can discount the influence of populism in upcoming European elections completely." - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®

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Fixed Income

Why Fixed-Income Investors Shouldn’t Fret About Fed Tightening

"We view Fed tightening with a positive lens and believe there are still plenty of potential opportunities within the fixed-income landscape for investors.” - Christopher Molumphy, CIO, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®.

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Emerging Markets

Hasenstab: US Election Rhetoric vs. Realities

Dr. Michael Hasenstab, CIO of Templeton Global Macro, commented on market reactions to the results of the US election in a video from his team’s ...

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Equity

America Decides: A Vote for Change

With Donald Trump emerging victorious in the US presidential race, many investors may be thinking: Now what? Here, Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin ...

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Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

Perspective from Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group® More Positive US Data Build Hopes for Better Performance in Second Half of 2016 As the ...