Beyond Bulls & Bears

A Long Brexit Delay Seems Likely, but to What End?
Equity

A Long Brexit Delay Seems Likely, but to What End?

With no resolution in place and the clock ticking down, Sandy Nairn, chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners, looks at the possible outcomes. He explains why he thinks a long Brexit extension could be the most sensible option, and why he feels the deadlock might only be broken by a fresh plebiscite.

MPs Say No to No Deal, but an Accidental Hard Brexit Remains a Possibility
Fixed Income

MPs Say No to No Deal, but an Accidental Hard Brexit Remains a Possibility

UK members of parliament have voted to reject a situation in which the United Kingdom crashes out of the European Union without a deal. But with only days until the official leave date, the options for a tidy resolution are limited. David Zahn explains why he expects the UK government now to seek an extension to the Brexit negotiations.

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable
Equity

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable

“It is symptomatic of the level of debate that the options which tend to get offered as panaceas for Brexit are rarely thought-through or viable.” Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy
Fixed Income

Italian Election Result: Political Uncertainty is Business as Usual for Italy

No outright winner emerged from the Italian general election, but as David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, explains that situation is normal for Italy. He expects a muted response from European bond markets but cautions there may be consequences down the road if the authorities fail to take the need for reform seriously.

UK Election Result: Grounds for Optimism in the Medium Term?
Equity

UK Election Result: Grounds for Optimism in the Medium Term?

"The UK election result came as a shock to most observers, but early indications suggest financial markets don’t view it as an end of the world scenario. And there are indications that some positives could emerge over the medium term.” Colin Morton, vice president, portfolio manager, UK Equity Team, June 9, 2017.

French Election Result – It’s Not Yet a Done Deal
Fixed Income

French Election Result – It’s Not Yet a Done Deal

"In terms of deciding who wins the keys to the Elysee Palace, the most pressing question is, 'who do the supporters of the eliminated candidates back?' " - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

How Theresa May’s Election Gambit Could Strengthen Her Brexit Hand
Fixed Income

How Theresa May’s Election Gambit Could Strengthen Her Brexit Hand

Just weeks after officially starting the process of withdrawing the United Kingdom from the European Union, Prime Minister Theresa May surprisingly announced her intention to call a General Election for June 8. Here David Zahn, head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®, explains why he thinks that could enhance her position at home and on the international stage.