Beyond Bulls & Bears

The Impact of the ECB’s Coronavirus Rescue Fund and BoE Rate Cut on European Bonds
Fixed Income

The Impact of the ECB’s Coronavirus Rescue Fund and BoE Rate Cut on European Bonds

This week, both the European Central Bank and Bank of England took further measures to help contain the financial fallout from the coronavirus and alleviate pressure on strained public finances. Our David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, shares his views on what it means for European bonds.

UK Budget Ease Follows Coordinated BOE Rate Cut
Fixed Income

UK Budget Ease Follows Coordinated BOE Rate Cut

Newly appointed UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak tore up the fiscal rulebook and unveiled a spend-heavy UK budget, announced just after the Bank of England delivered an emergency interest-rate cut. Our David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, weighs in, noting that the UK government is one of the first to provide a coordinated fiscal and monetary policy response to battle the economic impact of the coronavirus.

What’s Next for European Monetary Policy?
Fixed Income

What’s Next for European Monetary Policy?

David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, shares his macroeconomic outlook for the region. He weighs in on why the European Central Bank (ECB) could remain accommodative.

The UK Has Left the EU. What’s Next Post-Brexit?
Fixed Income

The UK Has Left the EU. What’s Next Post-Brexit?

It’s been 3-1/2 years since the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, and the process known as Brexit has been far from smooth. Now that the deadline to leave has passed, what’s next for the United Kingdom, and for Europe? Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn says that while there’s no turning back, there are still quite a few kinks to be worked out, including the all-important trade agreements.

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?
Fixed Income

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?

The Conservative victory in the UK General Election should bring some relief for UK markets, according to our Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn. But he warns investors’ attention is likely to turn quickly to how the new government can really “get Brexit done."

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad
Fixed Income

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad

Boris Johnson, one of the most enthusiastic supporters of Brexit, is the United Kingdom’s new prime minister. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s Head of European Fixed Income, doubts Johnson will have much of a honeymoon period in the new role as he faces stiff challenges domestically and internationally, with global markets scouring his every move.

Why We’re Positive About Lagarde’s ECB Nomination
Fixed Income

Why We’re Positive About Lagarde’s ECB Nomination

Christine Lagarde may have emerged as a surprise candidate to take the helm of the European Central Bank (ECB), but David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, sees it as a positive choice. Here he explains why both her experience, and lack of it, could prove positive if she does secure the job. And he shares his conviction that, whoever is in charge, the ECB is likely to remain steadfast on its easing path.

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?
Fixed Income

European Parliamentary Elections: A Barometer of European Thinking?

European parliamentary elections don’t typically generate international headlines, but with the wrinkle of Brexit still unsettled, this time they are front and center. Our David Zahn weighs in.

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

May Confirms Departure Date, but What Could It Mean for Investors?

“We calculate there would be no time for May’s successor to renegotiate a fresh deal with Brussels, so we think is more likely the UK could leave the EU without a deal.” David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income.

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?
Fixed Income

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?

Many observers are predicting that European elections later this month will usher a wave of populist representatives into the European Parliament. David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, believes there may be a shift in political balance, but suggests the ability of extremists at either end of the political spectrum to dramatically alter the direction of the European Union is likely to be limited.