Beyond Bulls & Bears

EU’s €750 Billion Rescue Plan a Strong Affirmation of European Integration
Fixed Income

EU’s €750 Billion Rescue Plan a Strong Affirmation of European Integration

After much debate, the ink is now dry on Europe’s €750 billion coronavirus fiscal rescue package, initially proposed in May. David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, says it marks a strong affirmation of European integration and support for beleaguered countries—good news for investors.

European Fixed Income: Coming Out of Crisis
Fixed Income

European Fixed Income: Coming Out of Crisis

As European economies slowly start to come out of coronavirus lockdowns, it could be some time before growth returns to pre-crisis levels, according to David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income. He says the crisis has been another test for the European Union as the coronavirus has affected some countries moreso than others. But he sees this as perhaps the best time in years to invest in European fixed income.

The UK Has Left the EU. What’s Next Post-Brexit?
Fixed Income

The UK Has Left the EU. What’s Next Post-Brexit?

It’s been 3-1/2 years since the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, and the process known as Brexit has been far from smooth. Now that the deadline to leave has passed, what’s next for the United Kingdom, and for Europe? Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn says that while there’s no turning back, there are still quite a few kinks to be worked out, including the all-important trade agreements.

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?
Fixed Income

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?

The Conservative victory in the UK General Election should bring some relief for UK markets, according to our Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn. But he warns investors’ attention is likely to turn quickly to how the new government can really “get Brexit done."

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?
Fixed Income

European Elections: Big Changes, or Business as Usual?

Many observers are predicting that European elections later this month will usher a wave of populist representatives into the European Parliament. David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, believes there may be a shift in political balance, but suggests the ability of extremists at either end of the political spectrum to dramatically alter the direction of the European Union is likely to be limited.

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union
Fixed Income

Eurozone Debt Disputes Make an Unhappy Union

When investing in sovereign debt, there is a level of trust involved—faith a government will return an investor’s principal plus interest without fail. But Franklin Templeton Fixed Income doesn’t see this as blind faith; it must be backed by verifiable economic metrics. In this excerpt from the latest “FT Thinks,” our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn outlines how governments have changed in Europe, and how new politicians with fresh agendas can bolster confidence, or rouse concerns.

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads toward Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective
Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seems to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently, a number of Cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge still lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

How the German Election Could Dictate Europe’s Future Direction
Fixed Income

How the German Election Could Dictate Europe’s Future Direction

"These are optimistic times in Europe, in general. In contrast to what many observers might have expected nine months ago, the political structure in Europe is probably the most stable it’s been in 10 years.” - David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group

French Election Result: Macron Wins, But Can He Deliver?
Perspectives

French Election Result: Macron Wins, But Can He Deliver?

There were no surprises as French voters elected Emmanuel Macron as their new president after the second round of voting. Franklin Templeton's investment professionals share their thoughts on the prospects of a Macron presidency and suggest it might not be plain sailing for the self-styled political outsider.