Beyond Bulls & Bears

Paradigm Shifts Impacting the Investment Landscape: China, Inflation and Monetary Policy
Fixed Income

Paradigm Shifts Impacting the Investment Landscape: China, Inflation and Monetary Policy

There are several “paradigm shifts” impacting markets today, according to Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab. He outlines how central banks might approach tapering of pandemic-driven asset purchases, and the potential investment risks and opportunities he sees.

Coming Out of COVID-19: A Look at Interest Rates and Inflation in Europe
Fixed Income

Coming Out of COVID-19: A Look at Interest Rates and Inflation in Europe

There is hope that economies will see a more sustainable and robust recovery this year, given unprecedented levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus and as more individuals are vaccinated against COVID-19. But one question for investors is what happens next—will inflation and higher interest rates be a consequence? Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn shares his views.

On My Mind: Will the US Economy Survive the Politics in 2020?
Fixed Income

On My Mind: Will the US Economy Survive the Politics in 2020?

The many gloomy predictions for 2019 did not come to pass, but can we be more optimistic for 2020? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai draws the key lessons from last year and outlines what she expects for the year ahead and her main concerns, with political uncertainty top of the list.

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores
Fixed Income

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores

Templeton Global Macro evaluates environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in its macroeconomic research process and describes the process of codifying the team’s research discussions into quantifiable scores.

The Four Pillars to Face a World of Uncertainty
Fixed Income

The Four Pillars to Face a World of Uncertainty

Global investors are facing extraordinary economic, political and financial market conditions that risk sending the world into a perilous period, according to Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab. He explains why he and his team see these conditions as an opportunity, and outlines the “four pillars” behind their strategy to cope with them.

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility
Fixed Income

A Global Macro Perspective: Populism, Trade and Emerging-Market Volatility

Templeton Global Macro Chief Investment Officer Dr. Michael Hasenstab and Vice President and Deputy Director of Research, Dr. Calvin Ho, discuss emerging-market turbulence, the persistent concerns around trade policy and divergent growth trends in the developed world.

Global Economic Perspective: October
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: October

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses whether optimism about the US economy is justified, and whether Italy’s budget talks could lead to looser fiscal policy elsewhere in the eurozone.

Global Economic Perspective: September
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: September

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group discusses the spread of populism in Sweden, whether US economic momentum appears sustainable and what’s behind recent emerging-market woes.

Global Economic Perspective: August
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: August

“We think the ECB is wise to retain some flexibility over the timing of its transition to more conventional monetary policies. The central bank has voiced concerns over the impact of the Turkish crisis on some European lenders. Additionally, volatility can be exaggerated at this time of year.” – Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group®

Global Economic Perspective: July
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: July

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the potential market impact of ongoing trade issues. Could it derail global growth?

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores
Fixed Income

Michael Hasenstab: An Update on our Global Markets Resilience Scores

Templeton Global Macro makes a compelling case that finding attractive opportunities in emerging markets lies in distinguishing the more resilient countries from the rest. Here, CIO Michael Hasenstab provides an update of the team’s proprietary “Local Markets Resiliency Index” and highlights the scores of seven different countries—Argentina, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Malaysia and South Africa.

Global Economic Perspective: June
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: June

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group sees the broad outlook for the global economy as remaining positive but expects more patches of financial market volatility ahead.