Beyond Bulls & Bears

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?
Fixed Income

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?

The Conservative victory in the UK General Election should bring some relief for UK markets, according to our Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn. But he warns investors’ attention is likely to turn quickly to how the new government can really “get Brexit done."

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores
Fixed Income

Templeton Global Macro: An Update on our ESG Scores

Templeton Global Macro evaluates environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in its macroeconomic research process and describes the process of codifying the team’s research discussions into quantifiable scores.

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months
Fixed Income

What We Think Could Drive European Markets in the Coming Months

As European investors and market practitioners return from their summer vacations and prepare for the final third of 2019, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn highlights the issues he thinks will drive markets in the coming months.

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad
Fixed Income

New UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Faces Challenges at Home and Abroad

Boris Johnson, one of the most enthusiastic supporters of Brexit, is the United Kingdom’s new prime minister. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s Head of European Fixed Income, doubts Johnson will have much of a honeymoon period in the new role as he faces stiff challenges domestically and internationally, with global markets scouring his every move.

Still No Roadmap to a Brexit Resolution as EU Offers Another Extension
Fixed Income

Still No Roadmap to a Brexit Resolution as EU Offers Another Extension

Brexit may have been delayed again. The European Union has offered to allow the United Kingdom more time to decide how it wants to leave. While the measure may prevent a no-deal Brexit in the short term, our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn thinks it may simply be saving up problems for the future.

Can the EU’s Extension Offer Really Break the Brexit Deadlock?
Fixed Income

Can the EU’s Extension Offer Really Break the Brexit Deadlock?

After a nail-biting few hours, European Union leaders have agreed to the UK government’s request to delay Brexit, albeit the extension is less than Theresa May had requested. But our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn believes the decision does little more than reset the clock and he warns there is still a strong chance that the United Kingdom could still crash out without a deal.

MPs Say No to No Deal, but an Accidental Hard Brexit Remains a Possibility
Fixed Income

MPs Say No to No Deal, but an Accidental Hard Brexit Remains a Possibility

UK members of parliament have voted to reject a situation in which the United Kingdom crashes out of the European Union without a deal. But with only days until the official leave date, the options for a tidy resolution are limited. David Zahn explains why he expects the UK government now to seek an extension to the Brexit negotiations.

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable
Equity

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable

“It is symptomatic of the level of debate that the options which tend to get offered as panaceas for Brexit are rarely thought-through or viable.” Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners