Beyond Bulls & Bears

Brexit Saga Meets Trade Roadblocks
Fixed Income

Brexit Saga Meets Trade Roadblocks

The United Kingdom officially left the European Union in January of this year, but issues remain in the Brexit saga, namely trade relations. David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, weighs in on the odds no deal will be reached by year-end—and the market implications.

The Impact of the ECB’s Coronavirus Rescue Fund and BoE Rate Cut on European Bonds
Fixed Income

The Impact of the ECB’s Coronavirus Rescue Fund and BoE Rate Cut on European Bonds

This week, both the European Central Bank and Bank of England took further measures to help contain the financial fallout from the coronavirus and alleviate pressure on strained public finances. Our David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, shares his views on what it means for European bonds.

UK Budget Ease Follows Coordinated BOE Rate Cut
Fixed Income

UK Budget Ease Follows Coordinated BOE Rate Cut

Newly appointed UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak tore up the fiscal rulebook and unveiled a spend-heavy UK budget, announced just after the Bank of England delivered an emergency interest-rate cut. Our David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income, weighs in, noting that the UK government is one of the first to provide a coordinated fiscal and monetary policy response to battle the economic impact of the coronavirus.

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?
Fixed Income

Tory Victory Offers a Boost to UK Market–But for How Long?

The Conservative victory in the UK General Election should bring some relief for UK markets, according to our Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn. But he warns investors’ attention is likely to turn quickly to how the new government can really “get Brexit done."

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?
Fixed Income

Brexit: Not the Beginning of the End, But the End of the Beginning?

Against the odds, Boris Johnson’s UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union (EU) which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on October 31 in an orderly way. But David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, cautions against popping the champagne corks too prematurely. There’s still a lot of work to be done, and financial market volatility is likely to remain heightened, he says.

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?
Equity

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?

Political infighting abounds in the United Kingdom as the clock ticks relentlessly towards the March 29 Brexit date. Amid entrenched positions on all sides, Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners, argues that only a fresh referendum or a general election can break the Brexit deadlock and examines some of the implications for investors.

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit
Equity

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit

“We believe it is likely over the coming months risk premiums will rise and potentially spur investment in stocks which have already been largely discounted for a worst-possible Brexit outcome, including the financial services and construction sectors.” - Sandy Nairn, Chairman, Templeton Global Equity Group