Beyond Bulls & Bears

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads toward Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit
Equity

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit

“We believe it is likely over the coming months risk premiums will rise and potentially spur investment in stocks which have already been largely discounted for a worst-possible Brexit outcome, including the financial services and construction sectors.” - Sandy Nairn, Chairman, Templeton Global Equity Group

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective
Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seems to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently, a number of Cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge still lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t
Fixed Income

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t

David Zahn, head of European fixed income, on why he thinks core European bond yields are unrealistically low, the impact of Japan’s “stealth taper”, and the apparent leadership vacuum at the heart of Europe. Plus why the lack of Brexit progress should be a concern for all EU member states.

Speeding Toward Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr
Perspectives

Speeding Toward Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr

The Brexit clock is ticking as the United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union (EU) is set to take place in March 2019. But is the UK ready to leave? And is there still a chance it won’t? We hear from Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group chairman and Edinburgh Partners CEO, and Lord Kerr, former diplomat and current chairman of Scottish Power and crossbench member of the House of Lords.

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?
Equity

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?

“Given the institutional hurdles to an agreement in the necessary timescale, we don’t see the relatively benign soft Brexit scenario as the most likely outcome. Our view is that the position is much more finely balanced and perhaps there is an equal probability of a range of different outcomes.” - Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU
Fixed Income

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU

For fixed income investors eyeing opportunities in Europe, 2018 should be the year economic fundamentals reassert their worth, according to David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income. Nonetheless, Zahn believes many investors are underappreciating the long-term implications for Europe of the biggest political uncertainty for the region—Brexit.

Global Economic Perspective: June
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: June

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines whether inflation may gain momentum in the United Sates, why it’s pleased the European Central Bank has resisted tapering of its quantitative easing program and why investors in all markets need to be cognizant of political risks.

UK Election Result: Grounds for Optimism in the Medium Term?
Equity

UK Election Result: Grounds for Optimism in the Medium Term?

"The UK election result came as a shock to most observers, but early indications suggest financial markets don’t view it as an end of the world scenario. And there are indications that some positives could emerge over the medium term.” Colin Morton, vice president, portfolio manager, UK Equity Team, June 9, 2017.

Theresa May’s Shock Defeat Threatens Further Volatility
Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Shock Defeat Threatens Further Volatility

“The prospect of a hung parliament, resulting either in a minority government or a coalition, paints a picture of an administration not in complete control during a period in which the United Kingdom needs its most focused administration for 70 years. ” David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, June 9, 2017.

Global Economic Perspective: May
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: May

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines the aftermath of the French election in Europe, signs of a pickup in global growth and whether Japan’s “Abenomics” experiment is working.

Global Economic Perspective: April
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: April

Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group talks monetary policy, European politics in the April Global Economic Perspective.