Beyond Bulls & Bears

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable
Equity

Why We Think Most “Brexit Panaceas” Are Ill-Thought-Through or Unviable

“It is symptomatic of the level of debate that the options which tend to get offered as panaceas for Brexit are rarely thought-through or viable.” Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets
Fixed Income

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets

"Two and a half years ago, with all the options for a negotiated Brexit on the table, a Hard Brexit seemed to be the worst-case scenario. Now, markets may feel that it’s preferable to bring an end to the uncertainty and accept the short-term pain." David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks Overseas to Shine?
Equity

Is it Time for Small-Cap Stocks Overseas to Shine?

"In our view, US small-cap stocks are currently among the most expensive in the world, especially in the technology and health care sectors. With valuations looking expensive to us in the United States amid rising interest rates, we aren’t finding as many compelling opportunities as we are in Europe and Asia outside of Japan.” - Franklin Equity Group’s Ed Lugo

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?
Equity

Does a Brexit Resolution Require a New Referendum or a General Election?

Political infighting abounds in the United Kingdom as the clock ticks relentlessly towards the March 29 Brexit date. Amid entrenched positions on all sides, Sandy Nairn, Chairman of Templeton Global Equity Group and CEO of Edinburgh Partners, argues that only a fresh referendum or a general election can break the Brexit deadlock and examines some of the implications for investors.

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads toward Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit
Equity

Are We Nearly There Yet?: Revisiting the Politics and Processes of Brexit

“We believe it is likely over the coming months risk premiums will rise and potentially spur investment in stocks which have already been largely discounted for a worst-possible Brexit outcome, including the financial services and construction sectors.” - Sandy Nairn, Chairman, Templeton Global Equity Group

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective
Fixed Income

Theresa May’s Brexit Steeplechase Has Only Just Begun: an Investor’s Perspective

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seems to have cleared the first hurdle in her bid to secure a soft Brexit. Her Cabinet initially backed the withdrawal deal UK and European Union negotiators have agreed to. But subsequently, a number of Cabinet members resigned. David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income, warns her most difficult challenge still lies ahead. And he believes there remain plenty of obstacles in her path, with profound implications for investors.

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t
Fixed Income

Three Developments in Europe You May Have Missed over the Summer—and One You Didn’t

David Zahn, head of European fixed income, on why he thinks core European bond yields are unrealistically low, the impact of Japan’s “stealth taper”, and the apparent leadership vacuum at the heart of Europe. Plus why the lack of Brexit progress should be a concern for all EU member states.

Speeding Toward Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr
Perspectives

Speeding Toward Brexit, Some Off-Ramps Emerge: A Dialogue with Lord Kerr

The Brexit clock is ticking as the United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union (EU) is set to take place in March 2019. But is the UK ready to leave? And is there still a chance it won’t? We hear from Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group chairman and Edinburgh Partners CEO, and Lord Kerr, former diplomat and current chairman of Scottish Power and crossbench member of the House of Lords.

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?
Equity

Brexit: Are Markets Underestimating the Chances of the UK Not Leaving?

“Given the institutional hurdles to an agreement in the necessary timescale, we don’t see the relatively benign soft Brexit scenario as the most likely outcome. Our view is that the position is much more finely balanced and perhaps there is an equal probability of a range of different outcomes.” - Sandy Nairn, Templeton Global Equity Group

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU
Fixed Income

The Underappreciated Story: How Brexit Threatens to Shift the Balance of Power in the EU

For fixed income investors eyeing opportunities in Europe, 2018 should be the year economic fundamentals reassert their worth, according to David Zahn, Franklin Templeton’s head of European Fixed Income. Nonetheless, Zahn believes many investors are underappreciating the long-term implications for Europe of the biggest political uncertainty for the region—Brexit.

Global Economic Perspective: June
Fixed Income

Global Economic Perspective: June

In this month’s Global Economic Perspective, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group examines whether inflation may gain momentum in the United Sates, why it’s pleased the European Central Bank has resisted tapering of its quantitative easing program and why investors in all markets need to be cognizant of political risks.