Beyond Bulls & Bears

Meet the Manager: Sheila Amoroso
Fixed Income

Meet the Manager: Sheila Amoroso

Some people seem to have a career path in place from an early age, while others just sort of stumble into one. Sheila Amoroso, director of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s municipal bond department, is in the latter camp. You’d probably be hard-pressed to find many young women who aspire to be municipal bond managers—and Sheila was no exception. But, as she made her first foray into financial services, she found the work interesting, challenging and rewarding. And after more than 30 years with Franklin Templeton, that’s still the case.

On My Mind: The Fed Will Hike Again—Because It Can
Fixed Income

On My Mind: The Fed Will Hike Again—Because It Can

While the financial markets seem to be betting on a very extended pause in the US Federal Reserve’s multiyear tightening cycle, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai has another idea. Here, she makes the case that interest-rate hikes may still be on the table this year.

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets
Perspectives

The Real Risk in Today’s Global Markets

While some observers might worry that the current global economic cycle is ending, Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab characterizes the slowing growth we are experiencing as a cyclical slowdown, not the end of the cycle. He is more concerned with the political vulnerabilities he’s seeing in the global economy today, and says the world’s increasing fragmentation due to populist policies is a major concern.

Reinventing Cars—Risks and Rewards on the Transportation Highway
Fixed Income

Reinventing Cars—Risks and Rewards on the Transportation Highway

New mobility technologies are reshaping how cars are powered, driven and used for years to come. In this excerpt from the latest edition of FT Thinks: “The Promise of Innovation,” Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group outlines three mega-trends—electrification, autonomous mobility and ride-hailing services—upending the old world order. They offer perspective on where we think the auto industry is headed, and the credit qualities the team look for from companies in the rapidly shifting auto industry.

PODCAST: US Housing Market: Are There Cracks in the Foundation?
Fixed Income

PODCAST: US Housing Market: Are There Cracks in the Foundation?

The US housing market is starting to cool off a bit, but the big question is whether there are cracks in its foundation. Paul Varunok, head of Securitized Assets with Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, shares his view on our latest Talking Markets podcast. He discusses the state of the US housing market today and why he doesn’t see a repeat of the housing crisis that hit the US market a decade ago. He also shares some thoughts on where he’s finding opportunities as an investor in the space.

Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Stop. Our View on US Interest Rates, Inflation and China
Fixed Income

Slowdown Doesn’t Mean Stop. Our View on US Interest Rates, Inflation and China

While the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to leave interest rates unchanged at its January policy meeting, the market seems to be thinking the Fed may press pause for an extended period. A prolonged US government shutdown has heightened concerns the economy could be at a tipping point, but Sonal Desai, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, weighs in on why the notion the Fed won’t raise rates at all this year “is misguided.”

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets
Fixed Income

A Hard Brexit Would Remove Uncertainty for Markets

"Two and a half years ago, with all the options for a negotiated Brexit on the table, a Hard Brexit seemed to be the worst-case scenario. Now, markets may feel that it’s preferable to bring an end to the uncertainty and accept the short-term pain." David Zahn, Head of European Fixed Income

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action
Perspectives

PODCAST: Making Sense of Recent Market Action

After a turbulent end to 2018, early January brought some relief for equity investors, but there certainly are no shortage of uncertainties about the year ahead. Three of our senior investment leaders recently participated in panel discussion about what they see affecting investor sentiment, how they think changes in monetary policy are influencing market action and why they don’t see a US recession this year.  

A Dovish Fed Rate Hike
Fixed Income

A Dovish Fed Rate Hike

The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the fourth time this year, but with critics starting to question the central bank’s actions, will it take a tightening pause in 2019? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s Michael Materasso weighs in.

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?
Fixed Income

Theresa May Holds on, but What Does This Mean for Investors?

Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge called by Eurosceptic members of her own party and will continue to lead the United Kingdom as it heads toward Brexit. But David Zahn, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s head of European Fixed Income, warns May’s troubles are not over yet. He predicts further volatility ahead for financial markets, but argues there may be opportunities for shrewd active managers.

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook
Perspectives

Distortion, Divergence and Diversification: 2019 Global Investment Outlook

Volatility has plagued equity markets globally in 2018—most notably emerging markets and US equity markets. As the US economic expansion officially crossed the nine-year mark in 2018, many investors started to wonder when the cycle would change—and what the catalyst might be. Our senior investment leaders see plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the year ahead, but recognize investment opportunities may be more divergent, with some previously overlooked countries or asset classes potentially taking the spotlight.

The Case for Municipal Bonds in a Rising-Rate Environment
Fixed Income

The Case for Municipal Bonds in a Rising-Rate Environment

Municipal bond yields moved higher in 2018 and seem likely to continue moving up in 2019 if market expectations for further interest-rate increases play out. Sheila Amoroso, director of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group’s Municipal Bond Department, makes a case for munis within a rising-rate environment. She says there could actually be more demand for munis ahead as a source of tax-free income.