Beyond Bulls & Bears

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Perspectives

Three Things to Think about When It Comes to Trade

The drumbeat of global trade tensions may have softened for a bit as other geopolitical noise grew louder, but it never really went away. Here, investment leaders from Franklin Templeton explain why they aren’t concerned about a trade war—at least not yet.

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Multi-Asset

Assessing the Impact of US Metal Tariffs

“If a trade war develops and slows global growth in an environment of higher inflation and higher budget deficits, we think most global stock markets are likely to fall in tandem.” – Stephen Lingard, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Multi-Asset

Talking Trade Tensions, Inflation and Volatility

Global growth has been accelerating, but there are a few potential headwinds that could cause it to stall. Three of our senior investment leaders—Ed Perks, Chris Molumphy and Stephen Dover—recently participated in a panel discussion on the potential impact of trade tensions, inflation and other issues on their radar.

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Perspectives

Will the Roar of Market Tensions Tame Global Growth?

The first quarter of 2018 started out like a lamb but went out like a lion as long-dormant volatility began to roar. Issues like inflation fears, trade tensions and geopolitical risks contributed to market turbulence, leaving many investors wondering whether these issues will put a damper on global growth—and end the US market’s nine-year bull run. Three of Franklin Templeton’s senior investment leaders—Stephen Dover, Christopher Molumphy and Ed Perks—weigh in.

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Perspectives

The Disruption of Money

While speculators have been flocking to virtual currencies with intense fervor, professional investors have largely taken a more cautious approach. Roger Bayston, senior vice president, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; Austin Trombley, vice president and data scientist, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group; and Anthony Hardy, research analyst with Franklin Equity Group, recently took part in a panel discussion on the topic. They discuss how digital currencies work, how blockchain technology has the potential to impact many facets of our lives, and how they feel about the investment case for this rapidly changing space.

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Multi-Asset

How Safe Is NAFTA?

“With trade skirmishes opening up on multiple fronts, we think the United States may feel increased pressure to get a NAFTA deal done ahead of this summer. That’s when the Mexican presidential election and US mid-term election campaigning will be in full swing. Otherwise, the United States risks attempting to win a trade war on multiple fronts, which tends to end badly if history is any guide.” – Stephen Lingard, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Multi-Asset

The Year Ahead: Will the US and Global Expansion Continue in 2018?

January is a month of resolutions and predictions, and perhaps more often than not, both tend to be abandoned come spring. While we don’t have a magic crystal ball to predict where the markets may be headed next, we do have a team of respected professionals who recently assembled to discuss whether they think last year’s economic momentum could continue—and where they see potential threats on the horizon.

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Perspectives

Global Investment Outlook 2018: Reflections on Growing Economies and Fading Stimulus

As markets shift away from the recovery era of monetary accommodation amid synchronized global growth, some investors may be wondering where potential opportunities can be found. We present a summary outlook for the year ahead from Franklin Templeton’s global macro, fixed income, equity and multi-asset investment teams.

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Multi-Asset

The Market Implications of US Tax Reform a Bit Unclear

"Some market observers have expressed optimism that US tax reform will prove bullish for stocks—and the economy overall—but the reality is that there will be some winners and losers and we don’t ultimately know what the magnitude of the impact will be.” -Ed Perks, CIO, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Multi-Asset

A Selective Look at Corporate Credit

“In line with a positive assessment of economic fundamentals, we view credit conditions as favorable. Interest rates remain low, corporate balance sheets generally remain strong and debt-service costs appear manageable. Markets still appear receptive to debt offerings.” – Ed Perks, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions

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Alternatives

Fourth Quarter Hedge-Fund Strategy Outlook: K2 Advisors

“While we cannot predict market tops or bottoms, we can be prudent in how we position portfolios contextually. Perhaps now is the time to consider dialing back risk to some degree. We believe the easy money in this cycle has already been made.” - K2 Advisors

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Multi-Asset

Lessons Learned from the Global Financial Crisis

“We believe it’s difficult for any investor to time the market. We prefer to take a more disciplined approach to investing by sticking with a set mix of global stocks and bonds, rebalancing from quarter to quarter, regardless of market conditions.” – Tony Coffey, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions